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“Grammys 2020: Beyoncé, Tanya Tucker & More Fearless Predictions In 15 Top Categories - Billboard” plus 1 more

“Grammys 2020: Beyoncé, Tanya Tucker & More Fearless Predictions In 15 Top Categories - Billboard” plus 1 more


Grammys 2020: Beyoncé, Tanya Tucker & More Fearless Predictions In 15 Top Categories - Billboard

Posted: 07 Jan 2020 08:26 PM PST

Grammy voting closed on Jan. 3, so it's time for our fearless predictions of who will win in key categories at the 62nd annual Grammy Awards on Jan. 26. We handicapped the "Big Four" categories in a separate piece. Here are our forecasts in 15 other top categories.

Best Pop Vocal Album

Nominees: Beyoncé's The Lion King: The Gift, Billie Eilish's When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?, Ariana Grande's Thank U, Next, Ed Sheeran's No. 6 Collaborations Project, Taylor Swift's Lover.

Grande, Sheeran and Swift are all past winners in this category. If any of them wins, they'd join Kelly Clarkson and Adele as the only two-time winners in the category's history. Grande, who won last year for Sweetener, would become the first person in the history of the category to win in back-to-back years.

Eilish, 18, is vying to become the youngest winner in the category's history. That distinction is currently held by Sam Smith, who was 22 when he won five years ago for In The Lonely Hour.

As album of the year contenders, Eilish and Grande are the front-runners here. And it figures to be very close between them. Eilish could conceivably win album of the year and lose here, if enough voters decide that Grande is more of a pop artist, while Eilish could just as easily been slotted in best alternative music album.

Prediction: Grande

Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album

Nominees: Andrea Bocelli's , Michael Bublé's Love (Deluxe Edition), Elvis Costello & the Imposters' Look Now, John Legend's A Legendary Christmas, Barbra Streisand's Walls.

Bublé is a four-time winner in this category. Streisand and Bocelli have been nominated here in the past, but have yet to win. This is the first nomination in the category for Costello and Legend. But Legend is going against Grammy history: No holiday album has ever won in this category. Voters even bypassed Bublé's Christmas.

Three of this year's nominees are seriously overdue for recognition. Bocelli has never won a Grammy. Costello has won just one, for a 1998 collab with Burt Bacharach. Streisand hasn't won a Grammy in competition in 33 years.

But it will be hard for any of them to get past Bublé, who is second only to Tony Bennett in number of wins in this category.

Prediction: Bublé

Best Dance/Electronic Album

Nominees: Apparat's LP5, The Chemical Brothers' No Geography, Flume's Hi This Is Flume (Mixtape), Rüfüs Du Sol's Solace, Tycho's Weather (featuring Saint Sinner).

This would be the third win in the category for the Chemical Brothers, which would put the duo in a tie with Skrillex for the most wins in the category's history. It would the second win in the category for Flume. The Chemical Brothers have three total nominations this year, more than anyone else in the category. Their noms include best music video, a sign of their reach beyond the dance field.

Prediction: The Chemical Brothers

Best Rock Album

Nominees: Bring Me the Horizon's Amo, Cage the Elephant's Social Cues, The Cranberries' In the End, I Prevail's Trauma, Rival Sons' Feral Roots

I Prevail and Rival Sons each have a second nomination this year. None of the other contenders do.

This is the Cranberries' first Grammy nomination, for their final album recorded before the death of lead singer Dolores O'Riordan two years ago. The Cranberries would be the first female-fronted band to win in this category. (Two female solo artists—Alanis Morissette and Sheryl Crow—have won here.)

Cage the Elephant is the only nominee in this category that had been nominated for a Grammy prior to this year. Social Cues is the band's third consecutive studio album to be nominated for either best rock album or best alternative music album. The band won best rock album three years ago with Tell Me I'm Pretty.

Prediction: Cage the Elephant

Best Alternative Music Album

Nominees: Big Thief's U.F.O.F., James Blake's Assume Form, Bon Iver's I,I, Vampire Weekend's Father of the Bride, Thom Yorke's Anima

Yorke has won three times in this category as a member of Radiohead. Another win would make him the first four-time winner in the category's history. Yorke has four total nominations this year, more than any of the other contenders here. His noms include best music film for Amina and best song written for visual media for "Suspirium."

Even so, the album of the year nominations for Bon Iver and Vampire Weekend make them the front-runners in this category. Both bands won in this category previously, for Bon Iver and Modern Vampires of the City, respectively.

Prediction: Vampire Weekend

Best R&B Album

Nominees: BJ the Chicago Kid's 1123, Lucky Daye's Painted, Ella Mai's Ella Mai, PJ Morton's Paul and Anderson .Paak's Ventura.

None of these artists have won in this category before; only BJ the Chicago Kid and Morton have been nominated in this category before. Lucky Daye has four nominations this year, more than anyone else in the category.

Ella Mai, Anderson .Paak and Morton each won a Grammy last year—for best R&B song, best rap performance and best traditional R&B performance, respectively. Ella Mai's album is nominated for best engineered album, non-classical.

Prediction: Ella Mai

Best Urban Contemporary Album

Nominees: Steve Lacy's Apollo XXI, Lizzo's Cuz I Love You (Deluxe), Georgia Anne Muldrow's Overload, Nao's Saturn, Jessie Reyez's Being Human in Public.

Lizzo, who is this year's top nominee with eight nods, is a slam dunk here.

Prediction: Lizzo

Best Rap Album

Nominees: Dreamville's Revenge of the Dreamers III, Meek Mill's Championships, 21 Savage's I Am > I Was, Tyler, the Creator's Igor, YBN Cordae's The Lost Boy

Revenge of the Dreamers III includes contributions from various Dreamville artists, including J. Cole, Ari Lennox and J.I.D. But no Various Artists album has won in this category.

The two top contenders are probably Tyler, the Creator and 21 Savage. 21 Savage's album includes "A Lot," which is nominated for best rap song. 21 Savage was nominated for record and song of the year last year as a featured artist on Post Malone's "Rockstar."

None of these artists have won in this category before; only Tyler, the Creator has been nominated in this category before.

Prediction: Tyler, the Creator

Best Country Album

Nominees: Eric Church's Desperate Man, Reba McEntire's Stronger Than the Truth, Pistol Annies' Interstate Gospel, Thomas Rhett's Center Point Road, Tanya Tucker's While I'm Livin'

Pistol Annies member Miranda Lambert won in this category five years ago for Platinum. None of these other artists have won in this category before.

Desperate Man and Center Point Road were both nominated for album of the year at the CMA Awards on Nov. 13, but lost to Maren Morris' Girl. Morris' album was, surprisingly, passed over for a nomination here. You might think that would clear the way for Church or Rhett to win. But two other female artists—Pistol Annies or Tucker—may block their path.

Tucker has received 14 Grammy nominations dating back to 1972, but has yet to win. The song of the year nomination for "Bring My Flowers Now" has put a spotlight on her. Tucker, 61, would become the oldest winner in this category since Loretta Lynn, then 72, took the 2004 award for Van Lear Rose.

Prediction: Tucker

Best Compilation Soundtrack for Visual Media

Nominees: The Lion King: The Songs, Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Rocketman (Taron Egerton), Spider-Man: Into the Spider Verse, A Star Is Born (Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper).

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Rocketman were both big winners at the Golden Globes on Sunday night. Alas, that telecast aired two days after Grammy voting closed.

A win for the Tarantino soundtrack would be a way of acknowledging the director, whose films have long exemplified the creative use of music in film. This is Tarantino's fifth Grammy nomination; he has yet to win. (He's nominated as the compilation producer, along with Mary Ramos as music supervisor.) His film seems much fresher than A Star Is Born, which was released 15 long months ago.

Gaga & Cooper's "Shallow" won last year's award for best pop duo/group performance. The song also won best song written for visual media. Will voters decide that's enough recognition for the film or will they give it more prizes this year? A tough call.

Prediction: Tarantino

Best Score Soundtrack for Visual Media

Nominees: Avengers: Endgame (Alan Silvestri), Chernobyl (Hildur Guðnadóttir), Game of Thrones: Season 8 (Ramin Djawadi), The Lion King (Hans Zimmer), Mary Poppins Returns (Marc Shaiman)

Zimmer has won four Grammys, including two for his work on the soundtrack to the original The Lion King film in 1994. Silvestri has won two Grammys. Shaiman has won one.

Chernobyl and Game of Thrones are both vying to become just the second score soundtrack from a television show to win in this category. (Both shows aired on HBO.) Lalo Schifrin's score for CBS' Mission: Impossible took the 1967 award.

Hildur Guðnadóttir has been unstoppable this awards season. She won an Emmy for Chernobyl and a Golden Globe for Joker. Will she soon have an Oscar and a Grammy too to bring back to Iceland? Stay tuned. She would be the first woman to win in this Grammy category in more than 30 years. (And Joker will almost certainly put her back in the running here next year.)

Prediction: Hildur Guðnadóttir

Producer of the Year, Non-Classical

Nominees: Jack Antonoff, Dan Auerbach, John Hill, Finneas, Ricky Reed

Auerbach won in this category seven years ago. Hill and Reed were previously nominated in this category, but didn't win.

The top contenders are probably Antonoff, who co-produced Lana Del Rey's Norman F***ing Rockwell!; Finneas, who produced Eilish's When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?; and Reed, who produced Lizzo's Cuz I Love You (Deluxe). All three albums are album of the year nominees.

At 22, Finneas would become the youngest winner in the category's history. That distinction is currently shared by Michael Jackson and three members of Toto (Steve Porcaro, Bobby Kimball and Steve Lukather) who were each 25 when they won.

But When We All Fall Asleep… is Finneas' only listed credit. By contrast, the entries for the other four nominees list multiple credits. Antonoff's shows albums by four different artists, including Del Rey and Swift.

Deep trivia: As a member of fun., Antonoff won best new artist seven years ago. He would become the first person to win both best new artist and producer of the year, non-classical over the course of a career.

Prediction: Antonoff

Best Music Video

Nominees: The Chemical Brothers' "We've Got to Try," Gary Clark Jr.'s "This Land," FKA Twigs' "Cellophane," Lil Nas X & Billy Ray Cyrus' "Old Town Road (Original Movie)," Tove Lo's "Glad He's Gone."

Last year's winner in this category, Childish Gambino's "This Is America," also won record of the year. "Old Town Road" is the only work that is nominated in both categories this year. Calmatic won a VMA in August for directing "Old Town Road." Andrew Thomas Huang also competed in that category for directing "Cellophane."

Prediction: Lil Nas X & Cyrus

Best Music Film

Nominees: Beyoncé's Homecoming, David Crosby's Remember My Name, Birth of the Cool (Miles Davis), Shangri-La (Various Artists), Yorke's Anima

Morgan Neville, the director of Shangri La, won in this category five years ago for directing 20 Feet From Stardom. Cameron Crowe, who co-produced Remember My Name, won a 2000 Grammy for best compilation soundtrack album for Almost Famous.

Yorke's Anima is nominated for best alternative music album, but Beyoncé's Homecoming: The Live Album was, surprisingly, passed over for a nomination for best urban contemporary album.

Despite that hiccup, Beyoncé is likely to win here in her fourth nomination in the category. She was previously nominated for I Am…World Tour, On the Run Tour (with Jay-Z) and Lemonade.  Beyoncé co-directed Homecoming with Ed Burke. She would become only the second artist to win in this category for a film she or he directed or co-directed. The first was Alanis Morissette, who won the 1997 award for Jagged Little Pill, Live, which she co-directed with Steve Purcell.

Prediction: Beyoncé

2020 Grammy Awards


2010s Music: 103 Days That Shaped Music This Decade - Vulture

Posted: 31 Dec 2019 08:30 AM PST

Clockwise from top: Kesha's rainbow hair dripping down on Dr. Luke, Beyoncé in "Formation," the infamous Fyre Festival sandwich, Hamilton, Taylor Swift vs. the World (Kanye/Kim, Katy Perry, Apple Music/Spotify, and Scooter Braun/Scott Borchetta, "Old Town Road," BTS, Frank Ocean's coming-out message on Tumblr. Illustration: by Ari Liloan

A decade is a long time. Ten years ago, Ariana Grande was a Nickelodeon teen. Taylor Swift was a country star. Billie Eilish and Lil Nas X were children. "Drip" was something drops did. "Lit" was something lamps did. Ten years ago, we didn't have Instagram, Snapchat, TikTok, Tidal, Apple Music, or YouTube Music. Most people didn't have Twitter. Now, we have them all at once, all the time, changing the ways we interact with music, and musicians, and each other.

As the price of memory plummeted, and the speed of internet skyrocketed, streaming usurped traditional physical and digital media on several fronts as fans on the go took a shine to services that alleviated the stresses of hoarding discs and files, and price points that offered access to vast libraries for less than $20 a month. Over time, audiences that had chosen piracy over the prospect of paying out of pocket for individual CDs and DVDs acquiesced to paying a reasonable monthly fee for relatively unrestricted access. The speed of that shift sent shockwaves through the music industry that we're still trying to process. Changes in the mechanics of how we listen to music dovetailed with changes in the moral fabric of the decade. Prestige awards had to restructure categories and voting pools to address matters of race. Industry abusers were exposed. Women in country, pop, hip-hop, and beyond fought for better representation. Hip-hop warmed to LGBTQ artists like Frank Ocean and Young M.A and earned its first out gay chart-topper in Lil Nas X.

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